Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 154.38 to 154.5, up 0.08%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -77.4% to Bear Critical -65.1%, up 12.2 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.11%0.05%0.06%0.08%
Energy0.99.09.012.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.11% 0.05% 0.06% 0.08% 0.9 9.0 9.0 12.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.08% — higher than 70% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 12.2 pts — higher than 61% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,927 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 3,074 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,209 times71.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 865 times28.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: -65.13%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 5.13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 9.37%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-02-10 18:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-77.4%
Bear Extreme
-65.1%
Bear Critical
-66.4%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle closes, Result for USDJPY: the near-extreme Bear energy zone.

Market trend energy Market Energy moved from -77.4% to -65.1%, up +12.2% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -99.7 to +93.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 01:00 on 11-02-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 154.5, up 0.08% from the previous candle (154.38). Market Energy was -65.1%, up 12.2 points from -77.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 154.5, up 0.08% from the previous 1H candle (154.38). This rise is larger than 70% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 44,298 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 12.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -77.4% to -65.1%. This rise is larger than 61% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at -77.4%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -65.1%, USDJPY is 5.13 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 9.37 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 25%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 37.9%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Critical, -65.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 12.5%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 77.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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