Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 154.058 to 153.744, down 0.20%
Market Energy Neutral 9.1% to Bear Bias -28.9%, down 38.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.12%0.26%0.05%0.20%
Energy14.957.33.138.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.12% 0.26% 0.05% 0.20% 14.9 57.3 3.1 38.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.20% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 38.1 pts — higher than 89% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,936 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,083 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 3,246 times63.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 1,837 times36.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: -28.94%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 8.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 31.06%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-01-26 14:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
9.1%
Neutral
-28.9%
Bear Bias
-30.9%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

USDJPY processing result: Bear Bias after the 1H candle closed.

Market trend update: Market Energy dropped -38.1% from the previous candle, from 9.1% to -28.9%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -99.4 to +91.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 21:00 on 26-01-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 153.744, down 0.2% from the previous candle (154.058). Market Energy was -28.9%, down 38.1 points from 9.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 153.744, down 0.2% from the previous 1H candle (154.058). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 44,030 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 38.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 9.1% to -28.9%. This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 9.1%, Neutral — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -28.9%, USDJPY is 8.06 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 31.06 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 97.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 73.1%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -28.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -81.3%. USDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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