Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 158.024 to 157.914, down 0.07%
Market Energy Bear Bias -40.6% to Bear Bias -58.5%, down 18.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.08%0.01%0.07%
Energy24.120.517.818.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.08% 0.01% 0.07% 24.1 20.5 17.8 18.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.07% — higher than 67% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 18.0 pts — higher than 74% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,936 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,083 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 3,246 times63.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 1,837 times36.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: -58.51%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 37.63%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 1.49%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-01-21 11:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-40.6%
Bear Bias
-58.5%
Bear Bias
-83.9%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, USDJPY recorded in the Market Energy zone leaning Bear.

Observing the USDJPY market this session, Market Energy reading dropped -18%, moving from -40.6% to -58.5% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 3 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -89.2 to +77.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 18:00 on 21-01-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 157.914, down 0.07% from the previous candle (158.024). Market Energy was -58.5%, down 18.0 points from -40.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 157.914, down 0.07% from the previous 1H candle (158.024). This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 43,955 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 18 percentage points from the previous candle — from -40.6% to -58.5%. This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at -40.6%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -58.5%, USDJPY is 37.63 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 1.49 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -92.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.4%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -58.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 5.1%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 63.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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