Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 152.028 to 151.6, down 0.28%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 82.9% to Bear Bias -29.8%, down 112.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.09%0.02%0.05%0.28%
Energy2.44.07.9112.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.09% 0.02% 0.05% 0.28% 2.4 4.0 7.9 112.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.28% — higher than 97% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 112.6 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,936 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,083 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 3,246 times63.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 1,837 times36.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: -29.77%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 8.89%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 30.23%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2025-10-21 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
82.9%
Bull Extreme
-29.8%
Bear Bias
-15.6%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle closes, USDJPY in the Bear Bias energy state.

On the energy side, Market Energy at -29.8%, down -112.6% from 82.9% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -94.5 to +98.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 20:00 on 21-10-2025 closed, USDJPY was at 151.6, down 0.28% from the previous candle (152.028). Market Energy was -29.8%, down 112.6 points from 82.9%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 151.6, down 0.28% from the previous 1H candle (152.028). This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 42,422 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 112.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 82.9% to -29.8%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 82.9%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bear Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -29.8%, USDJPY is 8.89 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 30.23 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -62.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -21.1%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -29.8%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.8%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 49.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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