Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 151.047 to 151.077, up 0.02%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 90.7% to Bull Critical 73.1%, down 17.6 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.22%0.09%0.05%0.02%
Energy68.732.87.917.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.22% 0.09% 0.05% 0.02% 68.7 32.8 7.9 17.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.02% — higher than 25% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 17.6 pts — higher than 73% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,936 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,631 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 1,195 times32.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,436 times67.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: 73.11%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.39%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 13.11%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2025-10-21 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
90.7%
Bull Extreme
73.1%
Bull Critical
90.1%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 1H candle closes, USDJPY shows the Bull Critical state.

On trend energy, Market Energy dropped -17.6% from the previous candle, from 90.7% to 73.1%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -94.5 to +98.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 11:00 on 21-10-2025 closed, USDJPY was at 151.077, up 0.02% from the previous candle (151.047). Market Energy was 73.1%, down 17.6 points from 90.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 151.077, up 0.02% from the previous 1H candle (151.047). This rise is larger than 25% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 42,413 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 17.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 90.7% to 73.1%. This drop is larger than 73% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 90.7%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 73.1%, USDJPY is 1.39 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 13.11 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -14.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 18.5%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 73.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 55.9%. USDJPY (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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