Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 148.812 to 148.784, down 0.02%
Market Energy Neutral 13.2% to Bull Bias 35.7%, up 22.4 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.05%0.14%0.02%
Energy5.512.955.722.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.05% 0.14% 0.02% 5.5 12.9 55.7 22.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.02% — higher than 25% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 22.4 pts — higher than 79% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,964 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-22
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 5,572 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,285 times41%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 3,287 times59%

Current USDJPY market energy: 35.66%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 24.34%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 14.78%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2025-09-25 06:00 UTC
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Market Energy
13.2%
Neutral
35.7%
Bull Bias
42.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 1H candle closes, USDJPY within Bull Bias.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Energy delta +22.4%: Market Energy at 35.7%, previously 13.2%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -78 to +98.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 13:00 on 25-09-2025 closed, USDJPY was at 148.784, down 0.02% from the previous candle (148.812). Market Energy was 35.7%, up 22.4 points from 13.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 148.784, down 0.02% from the previous 1H candle (148.812). This drop is larger than 25% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 41,983 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 22.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 13.2% to 35.7%. This rise is larger than 79% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 13.2%, Neutral — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 35.7%, USDJPY is 24.34 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 14.78 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -42.7%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Bias, 35.7%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 26.2%. USDJPY (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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