Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 147.968 to 147.528, down 0.30%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 93.0% to Bear Critical -61.1%, down 154.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.08%0.00%0.00%0.30%
Energy1.61.62.4154.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.08% 0.00%0.00% 0.30% 1.6 1.6 2.4 154.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.30% — higher than 97% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 154.1 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,952 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 3,076 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,210 times71.8%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 866 times28.2%

Current USDJPY market energy: -61.11%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.11%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.39%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2025-09-11 12:00 UTC
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Market Energy
93.0%
Bull Extreme
-61.1%
Bear Critical
-95.5%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 1H candle closes, USDJPY noted at Bear Critical.

End-of-session energy readings on 1H, A -154.1% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -61.1% (previous: 93%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -99.8 to +96.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 11-09-2025 closed, USDJPY was at 147.528, down 0.3% from the previous candle (147.968). Market Energy was -61.1%, down 154.1 points from 93%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 147.528, down 0.3% from the previous 1H candle (147.968). This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 41,749 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 154.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 93% to -61.1%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY on record since 2019.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 93%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -61.1%, USDJPY is 1.11 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 13.39 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 66.7%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Critical, -61.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -66.5%. USDJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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