Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 106.183 to 106.16, down 0.02%
Market Energy Neutral 12.0% to Bear Bias -24.7%, down 36.7 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.03%▲ 0.04%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.02%
Energy▼ 0.8▲ 6.6▼ 33.5▼ 36.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.03%▲ 0.04%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.8▲ 6.6▼ 33.5▼ 36.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.02% — higher than 34% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 36.7 pts — higher than 90% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY 1H

Sample: 73,044 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,090 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 3,250 times — 63.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 1,840 times — 36.1%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -24.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 3.84%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 35.28%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2020-09-10 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
12.0%
Neutral
-24.7%
Bear Bias
-40.5%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, USDJPY currently in Bear Bias of Market Energy.

Market trend update: Market Energy dropped -36.7% this candle, currently -24.7% (previous candle 12%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -83.9 to +89.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 08:00 on 10-09-2020 closed, USDJPY was at 106.16, down 0.02% from the previous candle (106.183). Market Energy was -24.7%, down 36.7 points from 12%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 106.16, down 0.02% from the previous 1H candle (106.183). This drop is larger than 34% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 10,562 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 36.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 12% to -24.7%. This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 12%, Neutral — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -24.7%, USDJPY is 3.84 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 35.28 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -61.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 3.6%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -24.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -52%. USDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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