Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.4228 to 1.4236, up 0.06%
Market Energy Neutral 17.2% to Neutral 19.2%, up 2.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.02%▼ 0.04%▼ 0.01%▲ 0.06%
Energy▲ 4.2▼ 6.9▼ 12.8▲ 2.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.02%▼ 0.04%▼ 0.01%▲ 0.06%▲ 4.2▼ 6.9▼ 12.8▲ 2.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.06% — higher than 39% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.0 pts — higher than 13% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,307 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-08
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,880 times

▸When USDCAD is in Neutral:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 958 times — 51%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 922 times — 49%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: 19.2%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 1.68%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 40.08%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-06-25 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
17.2%
Neutral
19.2%
Neutral
-41.8%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, USDCAD on 4H is in neutral with energy 19.2. Energy changed +2 from previous candle.

USDCAD on 4H timeframe is currently in neutral state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads 19.2, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from +3.7 to +76.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 25-06-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.4236, up 0.06% from the previous candle (1.4228). Market Energy was 19.2%, up 2.0 points from 17.2%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4236, up 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (1.4228). This rise is larger than 39% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 11,650 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 17.2% to 19.2%. This rise is larger than 13% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 17.2%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 19.2%, USDCAD is 1.68 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 40.08 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 48.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 97.2%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Neutral, 19.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -46.8%. USDCAD energy is currently above DXY by 66 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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