Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.4018 to 1.401, down 0.05%
Market Energy Neutral 7.5% to Bear Bias -27.6%, down 35.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.00%0.01%0.01%0.05%
Energy1.010.31.035.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.00% 0.01% 0.01% 0.05% 1.0 10.3 1.0 35.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.05% — higher than 62% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 35.0 pts — higher than 92% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDCAD 1H

Sample: 72,918 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,430 times

When USDCAD is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 3,839 times70.7%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 1,591 times29.3%

Current USDCAD market energy: -27.56%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 6.68%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 32.44%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H1 · 2025-11-12 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
7.5%
Neutral
-27.6%
Bear Bias
-55.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, USDCAD within Bear Bias.

On the energy side, A -35% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -27.6% (previous: 7.5%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -86 to +56.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 12:00 on 12-11-2025 closed, USDCAD was at 1.401, down 0.05% from the previous candle (1.4018). Market Energy was -27.6%, down 35.0 points from 7.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.401, down 0.05% from the previous 1H candle (1.4018). This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDCAD, across 42,786 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 35 percentage points from the previous candle — from 7.5% to -27.6%. This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDCAD at 7.5%, Neutral — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -27.6%, USDCAD is 6.68 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 32.44 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 74.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.8%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bear Bias, -27.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -7.1%. USDCAD energy is currently below DXY by 20.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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