Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.4444 to 1.4481, up 0.25%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 83.7% to Bull Critical 69.6%, down 14.2 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.68%▲ 0.21%▼ 0.15%▲ 0.25%
Energy▲ 21.2▲ 12.1▲ 4.4▼ 14.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.68%▲ 0.21%▼ 0.15%▲ 0.25%▲ 21.2▲ 12.1▲ 4.4▼ 14.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.25% — higher than 60% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.2 pts — higher than 63% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDCAD Daily

Sample: 4,052 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 148 times

▸When USDCAD is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 41 times — 27.7%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 107 times — 72.3%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: 69.57%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 4.93%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 9.57%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · D1 · 2025-03-03 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDCAD chart →
Market Energy
83.7%
Bull Extreme
69.6%
Bull Critical
30.9%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the Daily candle closes, Result for USDCAD: the Bull Critical level.

Market movement just recorded on the Daily timeframe, Market Energy at 69.6%, down -9.7% from 79.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from +46 to +83.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 03-03-2025 closed, USDCAD was at 1.4481, up 0.25% from the previous candle (1.4444). Market Energy was 69.6%, down 14.2 points from 83.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4481, up 0.25% from the previous Daily candle (1.4444). This rise is larger than 60% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDCAD, across 1,928 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 83.7% to 69.6%. This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDCAD at 83.7%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 69.6%, USDCAD is 4.93 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 9.57 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 59.1%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bull Critical, 69.6%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -33.1%. USDCAD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .