Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.4471 to 1.4309, down 1.12%
Market Energy Bull Bias 45.0% to Neutral -10.6%, down 55.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.37%▲ 0.61%▼ 0.07%▼ 1.12%
Energy▲ 26.0▲ 40.6▲ 4.9▼ 55.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.37%▲ 0.61%▼ 0.07%▼ 1.12%▲ 26.0▲ 40.6▲ 4.9▼ 55.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.12% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 55.6 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDCAD Daily

Sample: 4,052 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Neutral occurrences: 459 times

▸When USDCAD is in Neutral:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 255 times — 55.6%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 204 times — 44.4%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: -10.64%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 31.52%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 10.24%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · D1 · 2025-01-20 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDCAD chart →
Market Energy
45.0%
Bull Bias
-10.6%
Neutral
-33.0%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

After the system processes the Daily candle, USDCAD in the Neutral energy state.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Energy delta -50.7%: Market Energy at -10.6%, previously 40.1%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -26.5 to +45.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 20-01-2025 closed, USDCAD was at 1.4309, down 1.12% from the previous candle (1.4471). Market Energy was -10.6%, down 55.6 points from 45%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4309, down 1.12% from the previous Daily candle (1.4471). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDCAD, across 1,892 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 55.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 45% to -10.6%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDCAD at 45%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -10.6%, USDCAD is 31.52 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 10.24 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -6.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 39%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Neutral, -10.6%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 47%. USDCAD energy is currently below DXY by 57.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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