Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3193 to 1.3222, up 0.22%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -76.7% to Bear Critical -67.7%, up 9.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.28%▼ 0.72%▼ 0.66%▲ 0.22%
Energy▼ 21.7▼ 57.6▼ 23.6▲ 9.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.28%▼ 0.72%▼ 0.66%▲ 0.22%▼ 21.7▼ 57.6▼ 23.6▲ 9.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.22% — higher than 60% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 9.0 pts — higher than 44% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USDCAD Daily

Sample: 4,052 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 130 times

▸When USDCAD is in Bear Critical:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 95 times — 73.1%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 35 times — 26.9%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: -67.71%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7.71%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 6.79%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · D1 · 2019-06-21 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-76.7%
Bear Extreme
-67.7%
Bear Critical
-56.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily session concludes, Market USDCAD in the near-extreme Bear energy zone.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy reading rose +9%, moving from -76.7% to -67.7% after the Daily candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -76.7 to +48.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 21-06-2019 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3222, up 0.22% from the previous candle (1.3193). Market Energy was -67.7%, up 9.0 points from -76.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3222, up 0.22% from the previous Daily candle (1.3193). This rise is larger than 60% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDCAD, across 148 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -76.7% to -67.7%. This rise is larger than 44% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDCAD at -76.7%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -67.7%, USDCAD is 7.71 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 6.79 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 15.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -48.3%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bear Critical, -67.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -25.7%. USDCAD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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