Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
US30 Index from 52,463 to 52,363 points, down 0.19%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -89.6% to Bear Critical -69.5%, up 20.1 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.08%▼ 1.14%▲ 0.28%▼ 0.19%
Energy▲ 4.6▼ 31.4▲ 7.0▲ 20.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.08%▼ 1.14%▲ 0.28%▼ 0.19%▲ 4.6▼ 31.4▲ 7.0▲ 20.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.19% — higher than 57% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 20.1 pts — higher than 74% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical US30 Index 4H

Sample: 18,159 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 809 times

▸When US30 Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then US30 Index moved to higher Market State: 577 times — 71.3%
  • then US30 Index moved to lower Market State: 232 times — 28.7%

▸Current US30 Index market energy: -69.45%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.45%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5.05%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

US30 · H4 · 2026-07-08 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-89.6%
Bear Extreme
-69.5%
Bear Critical
-67.6%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, US30 on 4H is in bear critical with energy -69.5. Energy changed +20.1 from previous candle.

US30 on 4H timeframe is currently in bear critical state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -69.5, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, US30 Index Market Energy ranged from -96.5 to +84.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did US30 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 08-07-2026 closed, US30 Index was at 52,363, down 0.19% from the previous candle (52,463). Market Energy was -69.5%, up 20.1 points from -89.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did US30 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

US30 closed at 52,363, down 0.19% from the previous 4H candle (52,463). This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for US30, across 11,604 candles since 2019.

How did US30 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 20.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -89.6% to -69.5%. This rise is larger than 74% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for US30.

Do US30 price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was US30 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had US30 Index at -89.6%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, US30 Index moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does US30 Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -69.5%, US30 Index is 9.45 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 5.05 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -40.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -50.5%. Against this backdrop, US30 Index (Bear Critical, -69.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 40.5%. US30 Index (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for US30 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for US30 on the US30 Index overview →

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