Analysis

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SPX500 Index reflects the broader market, currently controlled by buyers, in the Bull Critical zone. Measured energy: +74.4%.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bull Critical SPX500 Index 4H

Sample: 17,978 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-25
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,067 times

When SPX500 Index is in Bull Critical:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 392 times36.7%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 675 times63.3%

Current SPX500 Index market energy: 74.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 0.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 14.44%

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SPX500 · H4 · 2026-01-21 22:00 UTC
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Market Energy
47.0%
Bull Bias
74.4%
Bull Critical
67.9%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, SPX500 in Bull Critical.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Market Energy reading rose +27.4%, moving from 47% to 74.4% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -99.1 to +74.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was SPX500 Index on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 05:00 on 22-01-2026 closed, SPX500 Index was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 74.4%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 27.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 47% to 74.4%.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SPX500 Index at 47%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, SPX500 Index moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 74.4%, SPX500 Index is 0.06 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 14.44 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 96.9%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bull Critical, 74.4%) lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 51.9%. SPX500 Index (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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