Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
SPX500 Index from 2,418.8 to 2,490.6 points, up 2.97%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -77.9% to Bear Critical -72.7%, up 5.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 8.70%▼ 3.62%▼ 5.79%▲ 2.97%
Energy▲ 14.6▲ 3.5▼ 1.2▲ 5.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 8.70%▼ 3.62%▼ 5.79%▲ 2.97%▲ 14.6▲ 3.5▼ 1.2▲ 5.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 2.97% — higher than 97% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.2 pts — higher than 25% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical SPX500 Index Daily

Sample: 4,133 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 161 times

▸When SPX500 Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 106 times — 65.8%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 55 times — 34.2%

▸Current SPX500 Index market energy: -72.74%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 12.74%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.76%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · D1 · 2020-03-17 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SPX500 chart →
Market Energy
-77.9%
Bear Extreme
-72.7%
Bear Critical
-66.0%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

SPX500 Index processing result: the Bear Critical zone after the Daily candle closed.

Per the 2AI model, Energy delta +5.2%: Market Energy at -72.7%, previously -77.9%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -94.8 to -72.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 17-03-2020 closed, SPX500 Index was at 2,490.6, up 2.97% from the previous candle (2,418.8). Market Energy was -72.7%, up 5.2 points from -77.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 2,490.6, up 2.97% from the previous Daily candle (2,418.8). This rise is larger than 97% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for SPX500, across 377 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -77.9% to -72.7%. This rise is larger than 25% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had SPX500 Index at -77.9%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, SPX500 Index moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -72.7%, SPX500 Index is 12.74 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 1.76 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -10.7%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bear Critical, -72.7%) lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 11.3%. SPX500 Index energy is currently below DXY by 84 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .