Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
SPX500 Index from 2,971 to 2,946 points, down 0.84%
Market Energy Bear Critical -63.7% to Bear Extreme -85.1%, down 21.3 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.13%▼ 0.27%▼ 1.33%▼ 0.84%
Energy▼ 16.9▼ 15.0▼ 98.0▼ 21.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.13%▼ 0.27%▼ 1.33%▼ 0.84%▼ 16.9▼ 15.0▼ 98.0▼ 21.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.84% — higher than 76% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 21.3 pts — higher than 70% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme SPX500 Index Daily

Sample: 4,132 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 133 times

▸When SPX500 Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 133 times — 100%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current SPX500 Index market energy: -85.08%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 10.58%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 14.92%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · D1 · 2019-08-01 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SPX500 chart →
Market Energy
-63.7%
Bear Critical
-85.1%
Bear Extreme
-87.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the Daily candle, SPX500 Index in Bear energy at peak level.

On the measurement side, Market Energy reading dropped -21.3%, moving from -63.7% to -85.1% after the Daily candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -85.1 to +66.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 01-08-2019 closed, SPX500 Index was at 2,946, down 0.84% from the previous candle (2,971). Market Energy was -85.1%, down 21.3 points from -63.7%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 2,946, down 0.84% from the previous Daily candle (2,971). This drop is larger than 76% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for SPX500, across 182 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 21.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -63.7% to -85.1%. This drop is larger than 70% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had SPX500 Index at -63.7%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, SPX500 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -85.1%, SPX500 Index is 10.58 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 14.92 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -16.9%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bear Extreme, -85.1%) lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 93.1%. SPX500 Index (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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