Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.2377 to 0.1997, down 15.99%
Market Energy Neutral 1.7% to Neutral -8.0%, down 9.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price9.72%6.89%4.07%15.99%
Energy22.117.53.59.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
9.72% 6.89% 4.07% 15.99% 22.1 17.5 3.5 9.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 15.99% — higher than 89% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.7 pts — higher than 52% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD Weekly

Sample: 105 Weekly candles from 2024-09-16 to 2026-09-14
Number of Neutral occurrences: 11 times

When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 4 times36.4%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 7 times63.6%

Current POLUSD market energy: -8.01%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 28.89%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 12.87%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · W1 · 2025-10-06 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
1.7%
Neutral
-8.0%
Neutral
-9.5%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

After the Weekly data updates, POLUSD within the Neutral level.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market trend energy recorded a -9.7% drop from the previous candle, from 1.7% to -8%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 4 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 06-10-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.1997, down 15.99% from the previous candle (0.2377). Market Energy was -8%, down 9.7 points from 1.7%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.1997, down 15.99% from the previous Weekly candle (0.2377). This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for POLUSD, across 55 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 1.7% to -8%. This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had POLUSD at 1.7%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -8%, POLUSD is 28.89 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 12.87 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -14.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 13.5%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, -8%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 100%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 108 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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