Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.1987 to 0.1726, down 13.14%
Market Energy Bear Bias -26.0% to Bear Bias -44.5%, down 18.5 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price8.82%2.28%5.47%13.14%
Energy12.04.98.318.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
8.82% 2.28% 5.47% 13.14% 12.0 4.9 8.3 18.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 13.14% — higher than 78% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 18.5 pts — higher than 87% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias POLUSD Weekly

Sample: 105 Weekly candles from 2024-09-16 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 8 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 7 times87.5%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 1 times12.5%

Current POLUSD market energy: -44.49%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 23.61%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 15.51%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · W1 · 2025-06-16 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-26.0%
Bear Bias
-44.5%
Bear Bias
-40.7%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the Weekly candle, Result for POLUSD: the Bear Bias state.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, A -18.5% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -44.5% (previous: -26%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 16-06-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.1726, down 13.14% from the previous candle (0.1987). Market Energy was -44.5%, down 18.5 points from -26%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.1726, down 13.14% from the previous Weekly candle (0.1987). This drop is larger than 78% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for POLUSD, across 39 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 18.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -26% to -44.5%. This drop is larger than 87% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had POLUSD at -26%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -44.5%, POLUSD is 23.61 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 15.51 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -1.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.7%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Bias, -44.5%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -20.1%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 24.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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