Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.07253 to 0.07147, down 1.46%
Market Energy Bull Bias 44.8% to Bull Bias 33.6%, down 11.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.21%1.11%1.81%1.46%
Energy5.43.120.511.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.21% 1.11% 1.81% 1.46% 5.4 3.1 20.5 11.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.46% — higher than 70% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.3 pts — higher than 57% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,371 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 308 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 96 times31.2%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 212 times68.8%

Current POLUSD market energy: 33.58%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 26.42%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 12.7%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-07-02 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
44.8%
Bull Bias
33.6%
Bull Bias
41.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Bull Bias state is the result just recorded for POLUSD after the 4H candle closed.

On trend energy, Market trend energy recorded a -11.3% drop from the previous candle, from 44.8% to 33.6%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -50.1 to +44.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 02-07-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.07147, down 1.46% from the previous candle (0.07253). Market Energy was 33.6%, down 11.3 points from 44.8%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.07147, down 1.46% from the previous 4H candle (0.07253). This drop is larger than 70% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 3,940 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 44.8% to 33.6%. This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 44.8%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 33.6%, POLUSD is 26.42 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 12.7 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 71.7%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Bias, 33.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -11.8%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 45.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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