Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.07842 to 0.07914, up 0.92%
Market Energy Bull Bias 45.9% to Bull Critical 61.7%, up 15.9 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.46%0.03%0.60%0.92%
Energy18.110.78.415.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.46% 0.03% 0.60% 0.92% 18.1 10.7 8.4 15.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.92% — higher than 51% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 15.9 pts — higher than 72% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,373 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 134 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 38 times28.4%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 96 times71.6%

Current POLUSD market energy: 61.74%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 12.76%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 1.74%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-06-16 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
45.9%
Bull Bias
61.7%
Bull Critical
19.1%
Neutral
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The near-extreme Bull energy level is the result just recorded for POLUSD after the 4H candle closed.

On the measurement side, Market Energy rose +15.9% from the previous candle, from 45.9% to 61.7%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -48.9 to +79.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 16-06-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.07914, up 0.92% from the previous candle (0.07842). Market Energy was 61.7%, up 15.9 points from 45.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.07914, up 0.92% from the previous 4H candle (0.07842). This rise is larger than 51% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 3,845 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 15.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 45.9% to 61.7%. This rise is larger than 72% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 45.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 61.7%, POLUSD is 12.76 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 1.74 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 98.5%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Critical, 61.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -98.7%. POLUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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