Analysis

·

Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.07707 to 0.07696, down 0.14%
Market Energy Bull Critical 68.8% to Bull Bias 54.3%, down 14.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.29%2.72%0.08%0.14%
Energy8.352.915.114.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.29% 2.72% 0.08% 0.14% 8.3 52.9 15.1 14.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.14% — higher than 7% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.5 pts — higher than 68% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,371 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 308 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 96 times31.2%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 212 times68.8%

Current POLUSD market energy: 54.33%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 5.67%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 33.45%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-06-15 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
68.8%
Bull Critical
54.3%
Bull Bias
59.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, POLUSD within the energy state tilted toward Bull.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy at 54.3%, down -14.5% from 68.8% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -61.8 to +68.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 15-06-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.07696, down 0.14% from the previous candle (0.07707). Market Energy was 54.3%, down 14.5 points from 68.8%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.07696, down 0.14% from the previous 4H candle (0.07707). This drop is larger than 7% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 3,838 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 68.8% to 54.3%. This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 68.8%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 54.3%, POLUSD is 5.67 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 33.45 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 93.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.4%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Bias, 54.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -97.1%. POLUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .