Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.0876 to 0.0897, up 2.40%
Market Energy Neutral -11.7% to Neutral 1.6%, up 13.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.00%0.55%3.10%2.40%
Energy25.12.953.013.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.00% 0.55% 3.10% 2.40% 25.1 2.9 53.0 13.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 2.40% — higher than 86% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 13.3 pts — higher than 66% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,370 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Neutral occurrences: 450 times

When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 207 times46%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 243 times54%

Current POLUSD market energy: 1.58%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 19.3%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 22.46%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-04-20 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-11.7%
Neutral
1.6%
Neutral
18.0%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Balanced trend energy recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for POLUSD.

On the measurement side, A +13.3% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 1.6% (previous: -11.7%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -26.5 to +88.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 20-04-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.0897, up 2.4% from the previous candle (0.0876). Market Energy was 1.6%, up 13.3 points from -11.7%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.0897, up 2.4% from the previous 4H candle (0.0876). This rise is larger than 86% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 3,501 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 13.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -11.7% to 1.6%. This rise is larger than 66% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at -11.7%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 1.6%, POLUSD is 19.3 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 22.46 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -57%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -91.3%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, 1.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 57.7%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 56.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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