Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.0853 to 0.0866, up 1.52%
Market Energy Bull Bias 34.9% to Bull Bias 48.7%, up 13.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.00%1.18%0.58%1.52%
Energy9.917.58.113.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.00% 1.18% 0.58% 1.52% 9.9 17.5 8.1 13.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.52% — higher than 71% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 13.8 pts — higher than 67% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,371 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 308 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 96 times31.2%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 212 times68.8%

Current POLUSD market energy: 48.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 11.28%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 27.84%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-04-16 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
34.9%
Bull Bias
48.7%
Bull Bias
64.3%
Bull Critical
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, POLUSD reflects the Bull Bias zone.

The POLUSD market at session end, Market trend energy recorded a +13.8% rise from the previous candle, from 34.9% to 48.7%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -57.5 to +57.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 16-04-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.0866, up 1.52% from the previous candle (0.0853). Market Energy was 48.7%, up 13.8 points from 34.9%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.0866, up 1.52% from the previous 4H candle (0.0853). This rise is larger than 71% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 3,477 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 13.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 34.9% to 48.7%. This rise is larger than 67% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 34.9%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 48.7%, POLUSD is 11.28 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 27.84 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 93.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 46%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Bias, 48.7%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -40.8%. POLUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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