Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.1583 to 0.1642, up 3.73%
Market Energy Neutral 19.2% to Bull Bias 38.9%, up 19.8 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price3.61%2.18%0.57%3.73%
Energy42.67.66.619.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
3.61% 2.18% 0.57% 3.73% 42.6 7.6 6.6 19.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 3.73% — higher than 95% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 19.8 pts — higher than 81% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,371 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 308 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 96 times31.2%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 212 times68.8%

Current POLUSD market energy: 38.94%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 21.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 18.06%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-01-14 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
19.2%
Neutral
38.9%
Bull Bias
11.7%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Bull Bias level recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for POLUSD.

On the energy side, Market Energy rose +19.8% this candle, currently 38.9% (previous candle 19.2%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -34.5 to +88.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 14-01-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.1642, up 3.73% from the previous candle (0.1583). Market Energy was 38.9%, up 19.8 points from 19.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.1642, up 3.73% from the previous 4H candle (0.1583). This rise is larger than 95% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 2,926 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 19.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 19.2% to 38.9%. This rise is larger than 81% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 19.2%, Neutral — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Bias.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 38.9%, POLUSD is 21.06 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 18.06 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -23.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 13.6%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Bias, 38.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 23.6%. POLUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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