Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.105 to 0.1063, up 1.24%
Market Energy Bull Critical 68.0% to Bull Extreme 78.8%, up 10.8 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.81%3.10%1.94%1.24%
Energy20.380.440.810.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.81% 3.10% 1.94% 1.24% 20.3 80.4 40.8 10.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.24% — higher than 63% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 10.8 pts — higher than 58% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,372 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 57 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 57 times100%

Current POLUSD market energy: 78.82%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 21.18%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 4.32%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-01-01 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
68.0%
Bull Critical
78.8%
Bull Extreme
86.0%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Bull Extreme determined for POLUSD through the 4H candle data.

The market energy reading Energy delta +10.8%: Market Energy at 78.8%, previously 68%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -73.4 to +78.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 02-01-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.1063, up 1.24% from the previous candle (0.105). Market Energy was 78.8%, up 10.8 points from 68%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.1063, up 1.24% from the previous 4H candle (0.105). This rise is larger than 63% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 2,852 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 68% to 78.8%. This rise is larger than 58% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 68%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 78.8%, POLUSD is 21.18 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 4.32 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -100%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -95.5%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Extreme, 78.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 4.6%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 74.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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