Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.1067 to 0.1074, up 0.66%
Market Energy Neutral 13.6% to Neutral 20.1%, up 6.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.18%0.46%0.74%0.66%
Energy5.114.834.96.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.18% 0.46% 0.74% 0.66% 5.1 14.8 34.9 6.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.66% — higher than 38% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 6.6 pts — higher than 40% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,376 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-12
Number of Neutral occurrences: 452 times

When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 209 times46.2%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 243 times53.8%

Current POLUSD market energy: 20.12%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 0.76%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 41%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2025-12-28 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
13.6%
Neutral
20.1%
Neutral
64.1%
Bull Critical
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, POLUSD shows the neutral energy zone.

Per the 2AI model, Market Energy moved from 13.6% to 20.1%, up +6.6% from the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -55.8 to +70.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 29-12-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.1074, up 0.66% from the previous candle (0.1067). Market Energy was 20.1%, up 6.6 points from 13.6%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.1074, up 0.66% from the previous 4H candle (0.1067). This rise is larger than 38% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 2,828 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 6.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 13.6% to 20.1%. This rise is larger than 40% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 13.6%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 20.1%, POLUSD is 0.76 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 41 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 7.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -0.2%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, 20.1%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 30.6%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 10.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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