Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.2383 to 0.238, down 0.13%
Market Energy Bull Bias 23.8% to Neutral 20.3%, down 3.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.37%1.00%0.17%0.13%
Energy0.019.57.53.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.37% 1.00% 0.17% 0.13% 0.0 19.5 7.5 3.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.13% — higher than 6% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.5 pts — higher than 22% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,376 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-12
Number of Neutral occurrences: 452 times

When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 209 times46.2%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 243 times53.8%

Current POLUSD market energy: 20.29%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 0.59%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 41.17%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2025-10-03 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
23.8%
Bull Bias
20.3%
Neutral
48.6%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded POLUSD in the Bull/Bear balanced energy zone after the 4H candle closed.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy dropped -3.5% this candle, currently 20.3% (previous candle 23.8%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -30.6 to +84.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 03-10-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.238, down 0.13% from the previous candle (0.2383). Market Energy was 20.3%, down 3.5 points from 23.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.238, down 0.13% from the previous 4H candle (0.2383). This drop is larger than 6% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 2,309 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 23.8% to 20.3%. This drop is larger than 22% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 23.8%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 20.3%, POLUSD is 0.59 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 41.17 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 73.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -66.5%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, 20.3%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -82.7%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 103 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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