Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.2412 to 0.2403, down 0.37%
Market Energy Bull Bias 50.8% to Bull Bias 50.8%, down 0.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.21%0.71%1.43%0.37%
Energy3.829.011.90.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.21% 0.71% 1.43% 0.37% 3.8 29.0 11.9 0.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.37% — higher than 21% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.0 pts — higher than 0% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,371 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 308 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 96 times31.2%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 212 times68.8%

Current POLUSD market energy: 50.78%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 9.22%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 29.9%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2025-10-02 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
50.8%
Bull Bias
50.8%
Bull Bias
31.3%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, Market POLUSD in the Bull Bias zone.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Energy delta 0%: Market Energy at 50.8%, previously 50.8%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -30.6 to +84.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 03-10-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.2403, down 0.37% from the previous candle (0.2412). Market Energy was 50.8%, down 0.0 points from 50.8%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.2403, down 0.37% from the previous 4H candle (0.2412). This drop is larger than 21% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 2,306 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy was nearly unchanged from the previous candle, holding around 50.8%.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 50.8%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 50.8%, POLUSD is 9.22 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 29.9 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -35.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 13.5%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Bias, 50.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 60.9%. POLUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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