Analysis

·

Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.2724 to 0.2717, down 0.26%
Market Energy Bear Bias -38.7% to Bear Bias -39.7%, down 1.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.78%1.34%0.33%0.26%
Energy22.732.01.01.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.78% 1.34% 0.33% 0.26% 22.7 32.0 1.0 1.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.26% — higher than 15% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.0 pts — higher than 7% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,372 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 346 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 249 times72%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 97 times28%

Current POLUSD market energy: -39.7%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 18.82%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 20.3%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2025-09-14 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-38.7%
Bear Bias
-39.7%
Bear Bias
-33.5%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, POLUSD currently in the energy zone leaning Bear.

Market energy movement The energy level dropped -1%: from -38.7% now at -39.7%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -43.9 to +77.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 15-09-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.2717, down 0.26% from the previous candle (0.2724). Market Energy was -39.7%, down 1.0 points from -38.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.2717, down 0.26% from the previous 4H candle (0.2724). This drop is larger than 15% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 2,198 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -38.7% to -39.7%. This drop is larger than 7% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at -38.7%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -39.7%, POLUSD is 18.82 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 20.3 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -25.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 4.6%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Bias, -39.7%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -13.6%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 26.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .