Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.2794 to 0.2745, down 1.75%
Market Energy Neutral 14.2% to Neutral -20.5%, down 34.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.43%0.14%0.72%1.75%
Energy2.75.323.234.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.43% 0.14% 0.72% 1.75% 2.7 5.3 23.2 34.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.75% — higher than 74% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 34.6 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,376 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-12
Number of Neutral occurrences: 452 times

When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 209 times46.2%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 243 times53.8%

Current POLUSD market energy: -20.46%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 41.34%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 0.42%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2025-09-08 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
14.2%
Neutral
-20.5%
Neutral
-36.4%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, POLUSD shows the Bull/Bear balanced energy zone.

On the measurement side, A -34.6% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -20.5% (previous: 14.2%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 11 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -48 to +31.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 08-09-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.2745, down 1.75% from the previous candle (0.2794). Market Energy was -20.5%, down 34.6 points from 14.2%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.2745, down 1.75% from the previous 4H candle (0.2794). This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 2,161 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 34.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 14.2% to -20.5%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 14.2%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -20.5%, POLUSD is 41.34 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 0.42 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 40.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.3%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, -20.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -51.6%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 31.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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