Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.172 to 0.1862, up 8.26%
Market Energy Neutral 0.7% to Bull Critical 68.4%, up 67.6 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price3.83%2.42%1.47%8.26%
Energy27.93.55.767.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
3.83% 2.42% 1.47% 8.26% 27.9 3.5 5.7 67.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 8.26% — higher than 99% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 67.6 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,379 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 134 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 38 times28.4%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 96 times71.6%

Current POLUSD market energy: 68.38%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 6.12%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 8.38%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2025-04-09 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
0.7%
Neutral
68.4%
Bull Critical
78.6%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, POLUSD noted at the Bull Critical measurement.

Market energy movement Market Energy at 68.4%, up +67.6% from 0.7% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -89.9 to +68.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 09-04-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.1862, up 8.26% from the previous candle (0.172). Market Energy was 68.4%, up 67.6 points from 0.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.1862, up 8.26% from the previous 4H candle (0.172). This rise is larger than 99% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 1,249 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 67.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 0.7% to 68.4%. This is the largest of all rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD on record since 2019.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 0.7%, Neutral — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Critical.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 68.4%, POLUSD is 6.12 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 8.38 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 48.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 20.8%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Critical, 68.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 42.6%. POLUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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