Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.1645 to 0.1558, down 5.29%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -87.2% to Bear Extreme -89.9%, down 2.8 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price5.37%0.87%3.91%5.29%
Energy26.62.60.72.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
5.37% 0.87% 3.91% 5.29% 26.6 2.6 0.7 2.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 5.29% — higher than 96% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.8 pts — higher than 19% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,377 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 42 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 42 times100%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current POLUSD market energy: -89.91%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 15.41%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 10.09%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2025-04-07 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-87.2%
Bear Extreme
-89.9%
Bear Extreme
-77.4%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, Result for POLUSD: the extreme Bear energy level.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy dropped -2.8% this candle, currently -89.9% (previous candle -87.2%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -89.9 to -19.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 07-04-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.1558, down 5.29% from the previous candle (0.1645). Market Energy was -89.9%, down 2.8 points from -87.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.1558, down 5.29% from the previous 4H candle (0.1645). This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 1,234 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -87.2% to -89.9%. This drop is larger than 19% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at -87.2%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -89.9%, POLUSD is 15.41 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 10.09 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -52.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.6%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Extreme, -89.9%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -10.4%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 79.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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