Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.5248 to 0.5191, down 1.09%
Market Energy Bull Bias 42.5% to Neutral 20.8%, down 21.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.32%0.28%1.09%1.09%
Energy21.92.520.521.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.32% 0.28% 1.09% 1.09% 21.9 2.5 20.5 21.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.09% — higher than 56% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 21.6 pts — higher than 84% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,376 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-12
Number of Neutral occurrences: 452 times

When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 209 times46.2%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 243 times53.8%

Current POLUSD market energy: 20.84%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 0.04%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 41.72%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2025-01-07 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
42.5%
Bull Bias
20.8%
Neutral
12.6%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, POLUSD within the balanced trend energy zone.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy dropped -21.6% from the previous session, from 42.5% to 20.8%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from +10.8 to +92.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 07-01-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.5191, down 1.09% from the previous candle (0.5248). Market Energy was 20.8%, down 21.6 points from 42.5%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.5191, down 1.09% from the previous 4H candle (0.5248). This drop is larger than 56% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 693 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 21.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 42.5% to 20.8%. This drop is larger than 84% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 42.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 20.8%, POLUSD is 0.04 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 41.72 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -60.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 23.7%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, 20.8%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -45.1%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 66 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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