Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.52 to 0.5195, down 0.10%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 89.9% to Bull Extreme 92.3%, up 2.4 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.51%3.80%3.48%0.10%
Energy11.526.932.82.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.51% 3.80% 3.48% 0.10% 11.5 26.9 32.8 2.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.10% — higher than 5% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.4 pts — higher than 16% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,378 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 57 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 57 times100%

Current POLUSD market energy: 92.32%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 7.68%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 17.82%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2025-01-03 16:00 UTC
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Market Energy
89.9%
Bull Extreme
92.3%
Bull Extreme
89.4%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The extreme Bull energy state is the result just recorded for POLUSD after the 4H candle closed.

On the measurement side, Market trend energy recorded a +2.4% rise from the previous candle, from 89.9% to 92.3%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -63.2 to +92.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 03-01-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.5195, down 0.1% from the previous candle (0.52). Market Energy was 92.3%, up 2.4 points from 89.9%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.5195, down 0.1% from the previous 4H candle (0.52). This drop is larger than 5% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 673 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 89.9% to 92.3%. This rise is larger than 16% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 89.9%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 92.3%, POLUSD is 7.68 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 17.82 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -36.4%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Extreme, 92.3%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 13.4%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 78.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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