Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.3894 to 0.3977, up 2.13%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 93.0% to Bull Extreme 90.1%, down 2.9 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.82%5.97%5.90%2.13%
Energy2.332.314.72.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.82% 5.97% 5.90% 2.13% 2.3 32.3 14.7 2.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 2.13% — higher than 94% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.9 pts — higher than 25% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,378 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 57 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 57 times100%

Current POLUSD market energy: 90.15%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 9.85%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 15.65%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2024-11-08 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
93.0%
Bull Extreme
90.1%
Bull Extreme
85.7%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, Market Energy of POLUSD indicates the Bull Extreme measurement.

Market trend update: Market Energy dropped -2.9% from the previous candle, from 93% to 90.1%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -52.5 to +93.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 08-11-2024 closed, POLUSD was at 0.3977, up 2.13% from the previous candle (0.3894). Market Energy was 90.1%, down 2.9 points from 93%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.3977, up 2.13% from the previous 4H candle (0.3894). This rise is larger than 94% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 337 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 93% to 90.1%. This drop is larger than 25% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 93%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 90.1%, POLUSD is 9.85 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 15.65 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 95.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -69.7%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Extreme, 90.1%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 92.2%. POLUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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