Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.3275 to 0.3248, down 0.82%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 77.2% to Bull Critical 72.7%, down 4.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price4.88%1.48%1.42%0.82%
Energy66.311.20.44.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
4.88% 1.48% 1.42% 0.82% 66.3 11.2 0.4 4.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.82% — higher than 56% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.5 pts — higher than 33% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,379 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 134 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 38 times28.4%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 96 times71.6%

Current POLUSD market energy: 72.74%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.76%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.74%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2024-11-06 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
77.2%
Bull Extreme
72.7%
Bull Critical
75.7%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, POLUSD within Bull energy near extreme.

On trend energy, Market Energy dropped -4.5% this candle, currently 72.7% (previous candle 77.2%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -63.2 to +77.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 06-11-2024 closed, POLUSD was at 0.3248, down 0.82% from the previous candle (0.3275). Market Energy was 72.7%, down 4.5 points from 77.2%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.3248, down 0.82% from the previous 4H candle (0.3275). This drop is larger than 56% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 324 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 77.2% to 72.7%. This drop is larger than 33% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 77.2%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72.7%, POLUSD is 1.76 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 12.74 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 64.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 26.3%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Critical, 72.7%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 90.7%. POLUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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