Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.07306 to 0.07328, up 0.30%
Market Energy Bear Bias -28.3% to Neutral -8.1%, up 20.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.42%0.01%0.30%
Energy2.111.71.920.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.42% 0.01% 0.30% 2.1 11.7 1.9 20.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.30% — higher than 34% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 20.3 pts — higher than 80% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD 1H

Sample: 17,441 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-10
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,861 times

When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 895 times48.1%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 966 times51.9%

Current POLUSD market energy: -8.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 28.95%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 12.81%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2026-07-04 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-28.3%
Bear Bias
-8.1%
Neutral
4.3%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, POLUSD reflects Neutral of Market Energy.

Market energy measurement Market Energy rose +20.3% from the previous candle, from -28.3% to -8.1%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -66 to +85.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 15:00 on 04-07-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.07328, up 0.3% from the previous candle (0.07306). Market Energy was -8.1%, up 20.3 points from -28.3%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.07328, up 0.3% from the previous 1H candle (0.07306). This rise is larger than 34% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 15,813 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 20.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -28.3% to -8.1%. This rise is larger than 80% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at -28.3%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Neutral.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -8.1%, POLUSD is 28.95 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 12.81 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 36.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 69.8%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, -8.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 27.1%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 35.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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