Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.1385 to 0.1382, down 0.22%
Market Energy Bull Critical 63.7% to Bull Critical 60.6%, down 3.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.25%1.16%1.91%0.22%
Energy5.76.23.23.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.25% 1.16% 1.91% 0.22% 5.7 6.2 3.2 3.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.22% — higher than 24% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.1 pts — higher than 19% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical POLUSD 1H

Sample: 17,500 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 461 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 137 times29.7%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 324 times70.3%

Current POLUSD market energy: 60.58%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 13.92%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 0.58%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2026-01-09 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
63.7%
Bull Critical
60.6%
Bull Critical
57.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, POLUSD shows Bull energy near extreme.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy at 60.6%, down -3.1% from 63.7% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -60.8 to +87.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 08:00 on 09-01-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.1382, down 0.22% from the previous candle (0.1385). Market Energy was 60.6%, down 3.1 points from 63.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.1382, down 0.22% from the previous 1H candle (0.1385). This drop is larger than 24% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 11,582 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 63.7% to 60.6%. This drop is larger than 19% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at 63.7%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 60.6%, POLUSD is 13.92 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 0.58 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 10.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 63.9%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Critical, 60.6%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 45.1%. POLUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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