Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.1188 to 0.1178, down 0.84%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 77.2% to Bull Bias 49.4%, down 27.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.03%0.25%0.85%0.84%
Energy9.54.23.927.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.03% 0.25% 0.85% 0.84% 9.5 4.2 3.9 27.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.84% — higher than 73% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 27.8 pts — higher than 87% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias POLUSD 1H

Sample: 17,465 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,291 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 366 times28.4%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 925 times71.6%

Current POLUSD market energy: 49.43%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 10.57%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 28.55%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2026-01-04 06:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
77.2%
Bull Extreme
49.4%
Bull Bias
49.9%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, POLUSD in the Bull Bias energy state.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy at 49.4%, down -27.8% from 77.2% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -83.9 to +91.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 13:00 on 04-01-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.1178, down 0.84% from the previous candle (0.1188). Market Energy was 49.4%, down 27.8 points from 77.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.1178, down 0.84% from the previous 1H candle (0.1188). This drop is larger than 73% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 11,467 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 27.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 77.2% to 49.4%. This drop is larger than 87% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at 77.2%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Bias.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 49.4%, POLUSD is 10.57 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 28.55 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 38.6%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Bias, 49.4%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 3.8%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 45.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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