Analysis

·

Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.2418 to 0.2384, down 1.41%
Market Energy Neutral -13.5% to Bear Bias -44.7%, down 31.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.45%0.42%1.41%
Energy2.55.614.031.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.45% 0.42% 1.41% 2.5 5.6 14.0 31.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.41% — higher than 88% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 31.3 pts — higher than 90% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias POLUSD 1H

Sample: 17,470 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,403 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,015 times72.3%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 388 times27.7%

Current POLUSD market energy: -44.74%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 23.86%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 15.26%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2025-08-21 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-13.5%
Neutral
-44.7%
Bear Bias
-61.6%
Bear Critical
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 1H candle closes, POLUSD in the Market Energy state leaning Bear.

At the 1H session close, Energy delta -31.3%: Market Energy at -44.7%, previously -13.5%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -79.6 to +96.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 15:00 on 21-08-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.2384, down 1.41% from the previous candle (0.2418). Market Energy was -44.7%, down 31.3 points from -13.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.2384, down 1.41% from the previous 1H candle (0.2418). This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 8,205 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 31.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -13.5% to -44.7%. This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at -13.5%, Neutral — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -44.7%, POLUSD is 23.86 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 15.26 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -39.7%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Bias, -44.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -51.3%. POLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .