Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.1752 to 0.1711, down 2.34%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -91.7% to Bear Critical -73.5%, up 18.2 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.27%2.13%0.34%2.34%
Energy19.09.34.918.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.27% 2.13% 0.34% 2.34% 19.0 9.3 4.9 18.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.34% — higher than 96% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 18.2 pts — higher than 76% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical POLUSD 1H

Sample: 17,476 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 504 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 387 times76.8%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 117 times23.2%

Current POLUSD market energy: -73.49%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.49%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.01%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2025-06-21 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-91.7%
Bear Extreme
-73.5%
Bear Critical
-67.7%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, Market POLUSD in Bear energy near extreme.

Market trend update: Market Energy moved from -91.7% to -73.5%, up +18.2% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.6 to +55.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 04:00 on 22-06-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.1711, down 2.34% from the previous candle (0.1752). Market Energy was -73.5%, up 18.2 points from -91.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.1711, down 2.34% from the previous 1H candle (0.1752). This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 6,754 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 18.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -91.7% to -73.5%. This rise is larger than 76% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at -91.7%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73.5%, POLUSD is 13.49 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 1.01 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -45.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -27.9%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Critical, -73.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 16.4%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 89.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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