Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.2614 to 0.2601, down 0.50%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 77.2% to Bull Critical 66.3%, down 10.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.99%1.33%0.73%0.50%
Energy25.819.40.210.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.99% 1.33% 0.73% 0.50% 25.8 19.4 0.2 10.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.50% — higher than 49% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.9 pts — higher than 55% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical POLUSD 1H

Sample: 17,476 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 460 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 137 times29.8%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 323 times70.2%

Current POLUSD market energy: 66.35%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 8.15%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 6.35%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2025-05-13 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
77.2%
Bull Extreme
66.3%
Bull Critical
50.6%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Bull energy near extreme determined for POLUSD through the 1H candle data.

Market energy measurement Energy delta -10.9%: Market Energy at 66.3%, previously 77.2%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -64.8 to +84.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 03:00 on 14-05-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.2601, down 0.5% from the previous candle (0.2614). Market Energy was 66.3%, down 10.9 points from 77.2%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.2601, down 0.5% from the previous 1H candle (0.2614). This drop is larger than 49% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 5,817 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 77.2% to 66.3%. This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at 77.2%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 66.3%, POLUSD is 8.15 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 6.35 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 9.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -49.2%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Critical, 66.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -91.1%. POLUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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