Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.2754 to 0.2747, down 0.25%
Market Energy Bear Critical -68.8% to Bear Critical -66.8%, up 2.0 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price3.76%0.55%0.00%0.25%
Energy66.58.66.72.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
3.76% 0.55%0.00% 0.25% 66.5 8.6 6.7 2.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.25% — higher than 27% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.0 pts — higher than 11% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical POLUSD 1H

Sample: 17,476 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 504 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 387 times76.8%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 117 times23.2%

Current POLUSD market energy: -66.83%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.83%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.67%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2025-03-03 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-68.8%
Bear Critical
-66.8%
Bear Critical
-82.4%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

POLUSD processing result: Bear energy near extreme after the 1H candle closed.

Meanwhile, Market Energy moved from -68.8% to -66.8%, up +2% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -90.1 to +94.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 00:00 on 04-03-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.2747, down 0.25% from the previous candle (0.2754). Market Energy was -66.8%, up 2.0 points from -68.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.2747, down 0.25% from the previous 1H candle (0.2754). This drop is larger than 27% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,110 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -68.8% to -66.8%. This rise is larger than 11% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at -68.8%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -66.8%, POLUSD is 6.83 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.67 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -64.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 74.9%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Critical, -66.8%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -82.1%. POLUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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