Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.3053 to 0.2951, down 3.34%
Market Energy Bear Bias -40.2% to Bear Extreme -78.6%, down 38.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.07%1.14%0.53%3.34%
Energy5.415.11.738.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.07% 1.14% 0.53% 3.34% 5.4 15.1 1.7 38.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.34% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 38.3 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme POLUSD 1H

Sample: 17,483 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 220 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 220 times100%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current POLUSD market energy: -78.57%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 4.07%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.43%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2025-02-09 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-40.2%
Bear Bias
-78.6%
Bear Extreme
-42.1%
Bear Bias
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The extreme Bear energy level recorded from just-completed 1H candle data for POLUSD.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy dropped -38.3% this candle, currently -78.6% (previous candle -40.2%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -86.2 to +86.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 04:00 on 10-02-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.2951, down 3.34% from the previous candle (0.3053). Market Energy was -78.6%, down 38.3 points from -40.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.2951, down 3.34% from the previous 1H candle (0.3053). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 3,586 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 38.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -40.2% to -78.6%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at -40.2%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.6%, POLUSD is 4.07 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.43 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -69.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -81.9%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Extreme, -78.6%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 49.9%. POLUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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