Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.4773 to 0.4735, down 0.80%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 89.7% to Bull Extreme 78.2%, down 11.5 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.37%0.95%0.21%0.80%
Energy15.50.25.511.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.37% 0.95% 0.21% 0.80% 15.5 0.2 5.5 11.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.80% — higher than 70% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.5 pts — higher than 57% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme POLUSD 1H

Sample: 17,472 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 221 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 221 times100%

Current POLUSD market energy: 78.16%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 21.84%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 3.66%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2025-01-15 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
89.7%
Bull Extreme
78.2%
Bull Extreme
80.5%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, POLUSD currently in the Bull Extreme energy zone.

On the measurement side, Energy delta -11.5%: Market Energy at 78.2%, previously 89.7%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 5 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -87.4 to +95.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 00:00 on 16-01-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.4735, down 0.8% from the previous candle (0.4773). Market Energy was 78.2%, down 11.5 points from 89.7%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.4735, down 0.8% from the previous 1H candle (0.4773). This drop is larger than 70% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 2,982 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 89.7% to 78.2%. This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at 89.7%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 78.2%, POLUSD is 21.84 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 3.66 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 83.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 82.8%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Extreme, 78.2%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 11.3%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 66.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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