Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.2743 to 0.2551, down 7.00%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 81.1% to Bull Bias 58.7%, down 22.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price14.72%0.80%8.46%7.00%
Energy63.413.211.022.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
14.72% 0.80% 8.46% 7.00% 63.4 13.2 11.0 22.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 7.00% — higher than 85% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 22.4 pts — higher than 86% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias POLUSD Daily

Sample: 731 Daily candles from 2024-09-14 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 43 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 12 times27.9%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 31 times72.1%

Current POLUSD market energy: 58.7%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 1.3%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 37.82%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · D1 · 2025-05-11 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
81.1%
Bull Extreme
58.7%
Bull Bias
28.2%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the Daily data updates, Market POLUSD in the Bull Bias level.

Market trend energy Market Energy dropped -22.4% from the previous session, from 81.1% to 58.7%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -7.8 to +81.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 11-05-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.2551, down 7% from the previous candle (0.2743). Market Energy was 58.7%, down 22.4 points from 81.1%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.2551, down 7% from the previous Daily candle (0.2743). This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for POLUSD, across 239 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 22.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 81.1% to 58.7%. This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had POLUSD at 81.1%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Bias.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 58.7%, POLUSD is 1.3 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 37.82 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -18.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 53.2%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Bias, 58.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 1.7%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 57 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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