Analysis

·

Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.2396 to 0.2299, down 4.05%
Market Energy Bull Bias 39.2% to Bull Bias 26.6%, down 12.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.55%0.88%0.00%4.05%
Energy3.80.22.412.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.55% 0.88%0.00% 4.05% 3.8 0.2 2.4 12.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 4.05% — higher than 69% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.6 pts — higher than 65% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias POLUSD Daily

Sample: 731 Daily candles from 2024-09-14 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 43 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 12 times27.9%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 31 times72.1%

Current POLUSD market energy: 26.63%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 33.37%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 5.75%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · D1 · 2025-05-03 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
39.2%
Bull Bias
26.6%
Bull Bias
19.9%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

POLUSD recorded in Bull Bias of Market Energy as the Daily candle ended.

Market trend update: Compared to the previous candle (39.2%), Market Energy dropped -12.6% to 26.6%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 6 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from +26.6 to +51.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 03-05-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.2299, down 4.05% from the previous candle (0.2396). Market Energy was 26.6%, down 12.6 points from 39.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.2299, down 4.05% from the previous Daily candle (0.2396). This drop is larger than 69% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for POLUSD, across 231 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 39.2% to 26.6%. This drop is larger than 65% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had POLUSD at 39.2%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 26.6%, POLUSD is 33.37 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 5.75 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 57.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 65.5%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Bias, 26.6%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 53.4%. POLUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .