Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
NZDUSD from 0.57752 to 0.5767, down 0.14%
Market Energy Bull Critical 73.6% to Bull Bias 54.4%, down 19.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.05%▲ 0.31%▲ 0.04%▼ 0.14%
Energy▼ 1.4▲ 3.4▼ 2.5▼ 19.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.05%▲ 0.31%▲ 0.04%▼ 0.14%▼ 1.4▲ 3.4▼ 2.5▼ 19.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.14% — higher than 51% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 19.2 pts — higher than 75% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias NZDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,299 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-09
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,508 times

▸When NZDUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 472 times — 31.3%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,036 times — 68.7%

▸Current NZDUSD market energy: 54.35%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 5.65%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 33.47%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · H4 · 2026-07-10 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
73.6%
Bull Critical
54.4%
Bull Bias
43.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, NZDUSD on 4H is in bull bias with energy 54.4. Energy changed -19.2 from previous candle.

NZDUSD on 4H timeframe is currently in bull bias state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads 54.4, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -47.5 to +76.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 10-07-2026 closed, NZDUSD was at 0.5767, down 0.14% from the previous candle (0.57752). Market Energy was 54.4%, down 19.2 points from 73.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.5767, down 0.14% from the previous 4H candle (0.57752). This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD, across 11,699 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 19.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 73.6% to 54.4%. This drop is larger than 75% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDUSD at 73.6%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, NZDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 54.4%, NZDUSD is 5.65 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 33.47 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 46.3%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bull Bias, 54.4%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -65.7%. NZDUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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