Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
NZDUSD from 0.5717 to 0.57096, down 0.13%
Market Energy Bull Bias 53.9% to Bull Bias 42.8%, down 11.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.04%▲ 0.30%▲ 0.07%▼ 0.13%
Energy▼ 5.9▲ 13.8▲ 5.7▼ 11.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.04%▲ 0.30%▲ 0.07%▼ 0.13%▼ 5.9▲ 13.8▲ 5.7▼ 11.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.13% — higher than 47% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.1 pts — higher than 52% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias NZDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,299 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-09
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,508 times

▸When NZDUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 472 times — 31.3%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,036 times — 68.7%

▸Current NZDUSD market energy: 42.8%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 17.2%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 21.92%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · H4 · 2026-07-03 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
53.9%
Bull Bias
42.8%
Bull Bias
37.9%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, NZDUSD on 4H is in bull bias with energy 42.8. Energy changed -11.1 from previous candle. State held for 8 consecutive candles.

NZDUSD on 4H timeframe is currently in bull bias state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads 42.8, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -33.4 to +53.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 03-07-2026 closed, NZDUSD was at 0.57096, down 0.13% from the previous candle (0.5717). Market Energy was 42.8%, down 11.1 points from 53.9%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.57096, down 0.13% from the previous 4H candle (0.5717). This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD, across 11,670 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 53.9% to 42.8%. This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDUSD at 53.9%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 42.8%, NZDUSD is 17.2 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 21.92 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -35.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bull Bias, 42.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -4.6%. NZDUSD energy is currently above DXY by 47.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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